thetaOwl

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturClose $436.39EOD only
Max Pain
$445.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$19.05
4.4% from close
Price Gap
+8.61
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
17
Low premium
P/C OI
1.36
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
4.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 23, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 23, 2026 close
TSM Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 24, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call demand above $445; stock holds above gamma flip.
Invalidation: Break below $350 or surge in put volume.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.4% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: $440; $445; $465

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$52.9M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.25

P/C OI ratio: 1.37

High confidence base 9. Net premium $53M positive. Aggressive call buying ($445C, $465C) and positive GEX/DEX bias bullish. Deep OTM puts indicate hedging. Mixed flow but leans bullish.

Notable Prints

#1
TSM 2026-08-21 $440.00 Put
Vol: 2,692
OI: 603
Vol/OI: 4.5x
IV: 51.0%
Notional: ~$9.3M
Intent: Bearish
Dual read: Protective

Read-through: Bearish

#2
TSM 2026-07-02 $445.00 Call
Vol: 1,284
OI: 339
Vol/OI: 3.8x
IV: 50.6%
Notional: ~$1.5M
Intent: Bullish
Dual read: Covered call

Read-through: Bullish

#3
TSM 2026-07-31 $390.00 Put
Vol: 369
OI: 104
Vol/OI: 3.5x
IV: 52.5%
Notional: ~$369K
Intent: Bearish
Dual read: Hedging

Read-through: Bearish

#4
TSM 2026-10-16 $430.00 Put
Vol: 302
OI: 105
Vol/OI: 2.9x
IV: 51.2%
Notional: ~$1.3M
Intent: Bearish

Read-through: Bearish

#5
TSM 2026-07-10 $510.00 Call
Vol: 296
OI: 103
Vol/OI: 2.9x
IV: 51.3%
Notional: ~$53K
Intent: Lottery
Dual read: Spread

Read-through: Bullish

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Calls added at 445,455,465,510 (vol/OI>2).

Put additions: Puts added at 440,390,430,200 (vol/OI>2.5).

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes: +GEX $2M & +DEX 47M shares align with pinning.

OI clusters: Key put OI at 350 (gamma flip), call OI at 465.

Hedging evidence: Multiple put buys suggest downside hedging.

Max pain context: Spot at MP, GEX positive reinforces pin.

Signal vs Noise

~Unusual put volume at 440,390,430 with vol/OI>2.5
~Positive net premium despite put-heavy flow
~Spot at max pain with positive GEX/DEX

Key Conclusions

📈Positive GEX and DEX, spot at max pain, pinning likely towards 450-460 near term.
⚠️Heavy put buying at 390 and 200 suggests downside protection; break below 430 could accelerate.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 24, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.