thetaOwl

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturClose $462.12EOD only
Max Pain
$430.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$13.32
2.9% from close
Price Gap
-32.12
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.38
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
TSM Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Price holds above MP; continued call activity at 502.5/507.5
Invalidation: Sustained break below gamma flip 350; spike in put volume
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 6.3% from MP; +1 VIX 17; override: Deterministic base score 8 as noted in narrative.

Watch next session: 502.5/507.5 call strikes; gamma flip 350

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$133.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.31

P/C OI ratio: 1.36

Strong GEX pinning and net premium support bullish bias. Unusual call sweeps at 502.5/507.5 signal upside bets. High put volume ratio adds caution.

Notable Prints

#1
TSM 2026-06-26 $502.50 Call
Vol: 2,145
OI: 174
Vol/OI: 12.3x
IV: 50.1%
Notional: ~$315K
Intent: Bullish

Read-through: Speculative upside.

#2
TSM 2026-06-26 $507.50 Call
Vol: 2,055
OI: 260
Vol/OI: 7.9x
IV: 50.5%
Notional: ~$230K
Intent: Bullish

Read-through: Speculative upside.

#3
TSM 2026-07-24 $240.00 Put
Vol: 811
OI: 126
Vol/OI: 6.4x
IV: 100.2%
Notional: ~$34K
Intent: Tail risk

Read-through: Extreme bearish.

#4
TSM 2027-01-15 $460.00 Put
Vol: 542
OI: 118
Vol/OI: 4.6x
IV: 50.1%
Notional: ~$3.5M
Intent: Protective

Read-through: Long-term hedging.

#5
TSM 2026-06-26 $432.50 Put
Vol: 1,089
OI: 254
Vol/OI: 4.3x
IV: 52.6%
Notional: ~$164K
Intent: Bearish

Read-through: Near-term OTM.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Call sweeps at 502.5, 507.5 (vol/oi >7) signal bullish bets.

Put additions: Put sweeps at 432.5, 460, and Jan 2027 460 (vol/oi >4) indicate hedging or bearish flow.

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$32.6M, DEX +47.2M, but put-call ratio >1: mixed consistency.

OI clusters: Largest put OI at 350 (21.8k) and 460; call OI at 502.5, 507.5.

Hedging evidence: Broad put sweeps across strikes suggest collar/hedging.

Max pain context: Spot above MP, gamma pinning near 460-470 limits downside.

Signal vs Noise

~Call sweeps at 502.5/507.5 (vol/oi >7) are real bullish signals.
~Put sweeps at 432.5/460 (vol/oi >4) are real bearish signals.
~Far OTM put at 240 (vol/oi 6.4) likely noise due to low OI.
~Jan 2027 460 put sweep is institutional hedging, not noise.

Key Conclusions

🐂Aggressive call buying near the money signals bullish expectations.
🐻Broad put accumulation signals downside hedging or bearish view.
📌GEX positive $32.6M and gamma pinning may limit volatility.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.