thetaOwl

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturClose $441.40EOD only
Max Pain
$380.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$16.62
3.8% from close
Price Gap
-61.40
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
92
High premium
P/C OI
1.45
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
TSM Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holds above $400 gamma flip or breaks above $435.
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $400 with volume.
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 12.1% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: 400 put defense; 480 call activity

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$238.4M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.51

P/C OI ratio: 1.43

Despite bearish put/call ratios and market weakness, strong net call premium ($238M) and positive dealer gamma/delta support bullish bias. Concentration at 400 put and large 480 call reveal institutional confidence. Watch for hold above gamma flip pivot.

Notable Prints

#1
TSM 2026-07-10 $480.00 Call
Vol: 5,174
OI: 163
Vol/OI: 31.7x
IV: 49.8%
Notional: ~$2.6M
Intent: Bullish speculation or call overwrite exit
Dual read: Could be short call opening if OI is low

Read-through: Aggressive bullish bet on TSM above $480 by mid-July

#2
TSM 2026-07-10 $400.00 Put
Vol: 1,648
OI: 302
Vol/OI: 5.5x
IV: 45.6%
Notional: ~$1.3M
Intent: Bearish bet or hedge near gamma flip level

Read-through: Put buying at key $400 gamma flip level

#3
TSM 2026-07-10 $435.00 Call
Vol: 438
OI: 126
Vol/OI: 3.5x
IV: 48.9%
Notional: ~$785K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
TSM 2026-07-02 $430.00 Put
Vol: 308
OI: 118
Vol/OI: 2.6x
IV: 45.0%
Notional: ~$534K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
TSM 2026-06-26 $435.00 Put
Vol: 350
OI: 142
Vol/OI: 2.5x
IV: 45.9%
Notional: ~$611K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: 480C 31x, 460C 2x OI

Put additions: 400P 5.5x, deep OTM puts (310P, 305P)

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$6.4M, DEX +52.3M shares, aligned

OI clusters: 400 put OI concentration, gamma flip

Hedging evidence: Deep OTM puts suggest tail hedging

Max pain context: Spot above MP, pinning towards 400

Signal vs Noise

~480C aggressive buying is real call demand
~Deep OTM put volume is hedging noise
~QQQ drop not reflected in TSM flow, signal of relative strength

Key Conclusions

📊Institutions add upside calls at 480 while hedging with deep OTM puts; mixed flow but GEX positive supports spot.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.