thetaOwl

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturClose $423.93EOD only
Max Pain
$380.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$19.50
4.6% from close
Price Gap
-43.93
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
62
High premium
P/C OI
1.45
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
TSM Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained price above $425
Invalidation: Break below $400 gamma flip
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.3% from MP; +1 VIX 18

Watch next session: $425 call strike; $400 gamma flip

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$372.4M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.99

P/C OI ratio: 1.45

TSM sees heavy call buying with $372M net premium. Gamma pinning near max pain. Unusual prints at $417.5 put and $425 call. Bearish OI ratio mixed. Bullish bias short-term.

Notable Prints

#1
TSM 2026-06-12 $417.50 Put
Vol: 3,364
OI: 324
Vol/OI: 10.4x
IV: 17.2%
Notional: ~$3K
Intent: Hedge

Read-through: Protection near gamma flip.

#2
TSM 2026-06-18 $397.50 Put
Vol: 2,066
OI: 271
Vol/OI: 7.6x
IV: 46.6%
Notional: ~$426K
Intent: Bearish speculation

Read-through: Expects drop below 397.5 by 6/18.

#3
TSM 2026-06-26 $240.00 Put
Vol: 985
OI: 261
Vol/OI: 3.8x
IV: 119.5%
Notional: ~$16K
Intent: Lottery ticket

Read-through: High IV, low prob, extreme downside.

#4
TSM 2026-06-18 $115.00 Call
Vol: 400
OI: 112
Vol/OI: 3.6x
IV: 491.4%
Notional: ~$11.8M
Intent: Mispricing
Dual read: Could be deep ITM exercise

Read-through: Very high IV, likely erroneous.

#5
TSM 2026-06-12 $422.50 Put
Vol: 445
OI: 145
Vol/OI: 3.1x
IV: 9.1%
Notional: ~$10K
Intent: Hedge

Read-through: Protection above spot.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Call additions at 375 and 660 (Jul) strikes; net premium +$372M.

Put additions: Put additions at 417.5 (10.4x OI), 422.5, 397.5, 240.

GEX/DEX consistency: Positive GEX and DEX consistent with bullish delta and pinning.

OI clusters: Put OI concentrated at ~400 (gamma flip), with clusters at 417.5 and 422.5 puts.

Hedging evidence: Put buying below spot suggests hedging; deep ITM call likely roll.

Max pain context: Spot at max pain (~420) with positive gamma; expected pin for OpEx.

Signal vs Noise

~Put spikes at 417.5/422.5 are notable but may be hedging noise.
~Deep ITM call at 115 likely a roll, not directional.
~Positive GEX/DEX alignment and net premium are bullish signals.
~Long-dated speculative calls at 660 indicate bullish outlook.
~High IV on 397.5 put suggests fear or hedging.
~Spot at MP reduces noise from gamma pinning.

Key Conclusions

📈GEX/DEX positive with spot at MP, pinning expected near 420.
⚠️Heavy put buying at 417.5/422.5 signals resistance and hedging.
💰Net premium +$372M with call flow dominance supports bullish bias.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.