thetaOwl

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturClose $404.52EOD only
Max Pain
$397.50
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$17.35
4.3% from close
Price Gap
-7.02
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
21
Low premium
P/C OI
1.40
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
TSM AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 6, 2026

Consensus-supported lens with chain history and key metrics in the rail.

Conviction
7.5

out of 10

7.5 not higher due to earnings event on 4/16 creating binary risk that could invalidate the pin regardless of current positioning, but strong alignment across GEX, flow, and theta supports high conviction pre-event.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin to $350 — GEX support, flow accumulation, and theta-rich environment all reinforce the magnet.

Where They Diverge

No conflicts identified — all personas reinforce the bullish pin thesis with aligned signals.

Top Trade
via directional

Sell Apr 17 $340/$335 put spread for defined risk credit — profits from pin support, expires pre-earnings.

Key Risk

Break below $330 flips gamma long and triggers stop-loss cascade — downside accelerates, invalidating the pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 6, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.