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TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturClose $441.40EOD only
Max Pain
$380.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$16.62
3.8% from close
Price Gap
-61.40
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
92
High premium
P/C OI
1.45
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
TSM AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because market weakness (QQQ -1.9%) and elevated put/call ratios introduce downside risk that could overcome gamma support; if spot holds above $425, conviction rises to 8.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on a bullish-leaning outlook with support near $400-$425, driven by positive dealer gamma, net call flow, and high IV favoring premium selling.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows institutional call buying but also heavy put hedging, conflicting with theta's pure bullish positioning; earnings high IV and put skew suggest downside risk but directional sees gamma pinning supporting upside.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-17 $410/$400 put spread for $2.50 credit

Key Risk

Break below $400 support flips dealer gamma negative and triggers put hedging cascade, accelerating decline to $380 max pain.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.