thetaOwl

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturClose $467.67EOD only
Max Pain
$440.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$21.30
4.5% from close
Price Gap
-27.67
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
19
Low premium
P/C OI
1.36
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 22, 2026 close
TSM AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 23, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
4.0

out of 10

4/10 because all personas have low confidence (5/10) and the bearish flow/directional dump directly conflicts with theta's bullish strategy, reducing conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas identify high volatility and negative dealer gamma (-$2.2M) amplifying price moves, but directional bias diverges.

Where They Diverge

Theta recommends bullish call diagonals while directional and flow are bearish, creating contradictory trade signals; the large $375 put print undermines any bullish continuation.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-17 $430/$400 bear put spread

Key Risk

Break below $430 support invalidates theta's bullish thesis, confirming bearish flow and accelerating downside to $400.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 23, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.