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TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturClose $462.12EOD only

Max Pain

$430.00

Next expiry Jun 26, 2026

Expected Move

±$13.32

2.9% from close

Price Gap

-32.12

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

100

High premium

P/C OI

1.38

Slightly put-heavy

Consensus

8.0/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 18, 2026 close

TSM AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because the 28-day earnings event introduces binary risk that could invalidate the pin thesis despite current bullish alignment.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on a bullish TSM thesis supported by strong positive gamma pinning, institutional call accumulation, and elevated IV offering premium selling opportunities.

Where They Diverge

No major conflicts; earnings persona flags spot far from max pain as a pin risk, but theta and directional see this as manageable range drift.

Top Trade

via theta

Sell 2026-07-17 $430/$410 put spread for $1.20 credit – defined risk, profits from bullish pin, avoids earnings binary.

Key Risk

Break below $400 flips GEX from short to long, triggering dealer sell-off and accelerating downside toward $385 max pain.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.