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TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturClose $425.83EOD only
Max Pain
$380.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$13.50
3.2% from close
Price Gap
-45.83
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
93
High premium
P/C OI
1.43
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
TSM AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 not higher because flow signals are divergent (net premium positive but put ratio >1.5) and spot 13% above mean price invites mean reversion; lower not justified due to strong gamma pinning.

Where Perspectives Agree

Pinning to $425-440 region supported by long dealer gamma and high IV, but conflicting flow signals temper conviction.

Where They Diverge

Flow's bearish verdict (sustained put volume) directly contradicts bullish directional and earnings theses; directional sees risk of tech selloff below $400, while theta sells puts at $410.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-17 $410/$400 put credit spread for $1.20 credit.

Key Risk

Break below $400 flips dealer gamma long and triggers stop-loss cascade — downside accelerates to $380 gamma shelf.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.