thetaOwl

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturClose $392.61EOD only
Max Pain
$400.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$15.53
4.0% from close
Price Gap
+7.39
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
10
Low premium
P/C OI
1.41
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 19, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 19, 2026 close
TSM Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 6, 2026

Consensus-supported lens with chain history and key metrics in the rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holding above $340 and net premium remaining positive >$30M
Invalidation: Spot falling below $330 (gamma flip) or net premium flipping negative
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.6% from MP

Watch next session: $340C OI buildup (8,996 OI); Put flow at $330 (17,023 OI)

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$35.2M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.76 — moderate call dominance

P/C OI ratio: 1.29 — put-skewed positioning

Strong bullish premium flow ($35.2M net) despite put-heavy OI, indicating fresh call buying and hedging against existing put positions. Flow regime is Bullish with GEX pinning.

Notable Prints

#1
TSM 2026-04-24 $340 Call
Vol: 7,630
OI: 571
Vol/OI: 13.4x
IV: 49.9%
Notional: ~$1.19M (7630 * $15.55 * 100)
Intent: Fresh directional call buying
Dual read: Bought (bullish) or sold/overwritten (neutral)

Read-through: Large volume relative to OI at near-ATM strike, consistent with bullish flow regime

#2
TSM 2026-04-10 $375 Call
Vol: 2,240
OI: 904
Vol/OI: 2.5x
IV: 43.8%
Notional: ~$29,120 (2240 * $0.13 * 100)
Intent: Lottery ticket OTM call buying
Dual read: Bought (speculative bullish) or sold (premium collection)

Read-through: Low-cost OTM speculation, but notional small; more noise than signal

#3
TSM 2026-07-17 $430 Call
Vol: 878
OI: 381
Vol/OI: 2.3x
IV: 44.9%
Notional: ~$649,720 (878 * $7.40 * 100)
Intent: Long-dated OTM call buying
Dual read: Bought (strategic bullish) or sold (covered call)

Read-through: Meaningful notional at far OTM strike; could be part of a spread or volatility play

#4
TSM 2026-04-10 $220 Put
Vol: 478
OI: 205
Vol/OI: 2.3x
IV: 164.8%
Notional: ~$3,824 (478 * $0.08 * 100)
Intent: Far OTM put speculation or hedging
Dual read: Bought (tail risk hedge) or sold (premium collection)

Read-through: Extremely high IV suggests speculative or hedging activity, but notional trivial

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $340-$360 calls in near-term expirations, evidenced by premium flow dominance

Put additions: Large OI at $330 (17,023) and $340 (14,389) puts, likely existing hedges

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — positive GEX ($15.1M) aligns with bullish flow and pinning regime

OI clusters: $330 put wall (17,023 OI), $340 call cluster (8,996 OI), $350 call cluster (10,051 OI)

Hedging evidence: Significant put OI at $330 and $340 suggests institutional hedging, but flow is call-dominated

Max pain context: MP at $340 (2026-04-17), spot at $341.76 slightly above; pinning likely

Signal vs Noise

~$375C 2026-04-10 volume is high but notional small (~$29K), likely retail speculation
~$220P and $230P prints have extreme IV (>140%) and tiny notional, more noise than directional
~Far OTM calls ($430C) could be part of vertical spreads or volatility plays, not pure directional bets

Key Conclusions

🐂Net premium +$35.2M strongly bullish, flow regime Bullish
📌GEX +$15.1M and pinning regime suggest spot gravitating toward $340-$350
🛡️Large put OI at $330 (17,023) acts as a floor, with gamma flip ~$330
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 6, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.