ThetaOwl

Expected Move — TSM

Data as of market close Apr 2, 2026

TSM Expected Move Data

Nearest Expiry
2026-04-10
Expected Move
±4.7%
Expected Range
$323.19–$354.89
Days to Expiry
8
ATM Strike
$340.00
Spot Price
$339.04

Expected Move by Expiration (spot: $339.04)

Expected Move by Expiration

ExpirationDTEATM StrikeExpected MoveMove %Lower BoundUpper Bound
2026-04-108$340.00±$15.85±4.7%$323.19$354.89
2026-04-1715$340.00±$26.08±7.7%$312.97$365.12
2026-04-2422$340.00±$30.20±8.9%$308.84$369.24
2026-05-0129$340.00±$34.08±10.1%$304.97$373.12
2026-05-0836$340.00±$38.08±11.2%$300.97$377.12
2026-05-1543$340.00±$41.45±12.2%$297.59$380.49
2026-06-1877$340.00±$55.53±16.4%$283.52$394.57
2026-07-17106$340.00±$65.00±19.2%$274.04$404.04
2026-08-21141$340.00±$75.22±22.2%$263.82$414.27
2026-09-18169$340.00±$82.40±24.3%$256.64$421.44
2026-10-16197$340.00±$89.65±26.4%$249.39$428.69
2026-11-20232$340.00±$97.68±28.8%$241.37$436.72
2026-12-18260$340.00±$102.60±30.3%$236.44$441.64
2027-01-15288$340.00±$108.65±32.0%$230.39$447.69
2027-03-19351$340.00±$119.47±35.2%$219.57$458.52
TSM expected move by expiration
ExpirationDays to ExpiryATM StrikeExpected MoveMove %Lower BoundUpper Bound
2026-04-10834015.854.67323.19354.89
2026-04-171534026.087.69312.97365.12
2026-04-242234030.28.91308.84369.24
2026-05-012934034.0810.05304.97373.12
2026-05-083634038.0811.23300.97377.12
2026-05-154334041.4512.23297.59380.49
2026-06-187734055.5316.38283.52394.57
2026-07-171063406519.17274.04404.04
2026-08-2114134075.2222.19263.82414.27
2026-09-1816934082.424.3256.64421.44
2026-10-1619734089.6526.44249.39428.69
2026-11-2023234097.6828.81241.37436.72
2026-12-18260340102.630.26236.44441.64
2027-01-15288340108.6532.05230.39447.69
2027-03-19351340119.4735.24219.57458.52

Check the expected price move for TSM by expiration date, derived from options pricing. Compare implied moves across timeframes to gauge how much the market expects the stock to move.