thetaOwl

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturClose $462.12EOD only
Max Pain
$430.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$13.32
2.9% from close
Price Gap
-32.12
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.38
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
TSM Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holds above gamma flip $400 with continued call buying and expanding DEX.
Invalidation: Break below $400 with surging put volume and spike in VIX.
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 20.0% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: $455; $400

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$390.1M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.76

P/C OI ratio: 1.38

Options flow heavily bullish: net premium +$390M, put/call volume ratio 0.76, regime Bullish with gamma pinning. Unusual call prints at $455/$457.5 and put buying deep OTM suggest upside bias with downside insurance.

Notable Prints

#1
TSM 2026-06-26 $335.00 Put
Vol: 1,548
OI: 103
Vol/OI: 15.0x
IV: 98.7%
Notional: ~$63K
Intent: Hedge against crash
Dual read: Speculative put

Read-through: Fear of downside

#2
TSM 2026-06-18 $455.00 Call
Vol: 19,482
OI: 1,761
Vol/OI: 11.1x
IV: 38.6%
Notional: ~$14.6M
Intent: Bullish bet on rally
Dual read: Could be closing shorts

Read-through: Strong bullish sentiment

#3
TSM 2026-06-26 $250.00 Put
Vol: 6,404
OI: 636
Vol/OI: 10.1x
IV: 149.6%
Notional: ~$58K
Intent: Catastrophic hedge
Dual read: Lottery ticket

Read-through: Tail risk hedging

#4
TSM 2026-06-18 $457.50 Call
Vol: 2,017
OI: 246
Vol/OI: 8.2x
IV: 39.6%
Notional: ~$1.4M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
TSM 2026-06-18 $460.00 Put
Vol: 679
OI: 115
Vol/OI: 5.9x
IV: 18.3%
Notional: ~$26K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy call volume at 455-457.5 6/18 and 470 6/26

Put additions: Far OTM puts at 250 and 335 for 6/26; also 450-460 puts 6/18

GEX/DEX consistency: Bullish call flow aligns with +GEX and +DEX positioning

OI clusters: OI concentrated near 450-460 calls and 250-335 puts

Hedging evidence: Far OTM puts and 450-460 puts indicate hedging

Max pain context: Spot above MP; positive gamma likely pins price near 400-450

Signal vs Noise

~Sustained call buying at 455-457.5 is signal
~Large far OTM put volume at 250 and 335 is signal of hedging
~Positive GEX/DEX consistent with bullish flow

Key Conclusions

🟢Institutions are adding upside exposure via 455-457.5 calls.
🛡️Far OTM put buying at 250 and 335 suggests protective hedging.
📌Positive gamma and spot above MP likely pin price in 400-450 range.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.