thetaOwl

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturClose $423.93EOD only
Max Pain
$380.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$19.50
4.6% from close
Price Gap
-43.93
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
62
High premium
P/C OI
1.45
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
TSM Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained above $400 gamma flip with high GEX; continued call buying at upper strikes.
Invalidation: Break below $435 put support or surge in put volume/IV crushing call skew.
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 16.2% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: 400 gamma flip; 435 put support; call OI buildup at 530/570

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$348.2M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.13

P/C OI ratio: 1.45

Strong call accumulation dominates, with net premium +$348M and GEX $32.3M pinning. Despite slight put volume edge, unusual prints show heavy call buying (462.5, 530, 570). Bullish market context (QQQ +3.14%) supports, but high volatility and spot far from MP warrant caution. Confidence base 8 reflects alignment.

Notable Prints

#1
TSM 2026-06-18 $462.50 Call
Vol: 2,061
OI: 116
Vol/OI: 17.8x
IV: 46.0%
Notional: ~$392K
Intent: Bullish speculation on near-term rally above $462.50
Dual read: Possible call spread or gamma scalping

Read-through: Expectation of upside move by Friday

#2
TSM 2026-06-26 $330.00 Put
Vol: 5,006
OI: 285
Vol/OI: 17.6x
IV: 77.6%
Notional: ~$205K
Intent: Bearish hedge or tail risk protection
Dual read: Could be part of put spread

Read-through: Anticipation of significant downside risk

#3
TSM 2026-07-17 $570.00 Call
Vol: 1,024
OI: 137
Vol/OI: 7.5x
IV: 53.3%
Notional: ~$199K
Intent: Speculative lottery ticket on major upside
Dual read: Possibly sold as part of call credit spread

Read-through: Long-shot bullish bet

#4
TSM 2026-07-17 $530.00 Call
Vol: 2,997
OI: 591
Vol/OI: 5.1x
IV: 52.0%
Notional: ~$1.3M
Intent: Bullish position betting on continued strength
Dual read: Could be part of vertical or calendar spread

Read-through: Confidence in upward trend

#5
TSM 2026-06-18 $452.50 Call
Vol: 661
OI: 185
Vol/OI: 3.6x
IV: 45.7%
Notional: ~$252K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Strong call buying at 462.5, 530, 570; OI rising.

Put additions: Heavy put adds at 330, 165; smaller at 435, 305.

GEX/DEX consistency: Positive GEX/DEX aligned with call flow despite high put volume.

OI clusters: Put OI cluster near 400 (gamma flip); call OI building at 530, 570.

Hedging evidence: Puts at 330, 165 likely downside hedges; possible collar with 530/570 calls.

Max pain context: MP below spot (~$440-450); positive gamma suggests pinning upward.

Signal vs Noise

~High put volume ratio (1.13) may be noise as flow is mixed.
~Real signal: large OI additions at 462.5C, 330P, 530C.
~Low OI trades (570C) are noise; focus on vol/oi >5.

Key Conclusions

📈Institutions adding upside via 530/570 calls despite high put volume.
⚠️Heavy put accumulation at 330 signals downside hedging, but GEX pinning caps risk.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.