thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $416.03EOD only
Max Pain
$415.00
Next expiry May 27, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.63
1.1% from close
Price Gap
-1.03
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
17
Low premium
P/C OI
0.46
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 26, 2026 close
MSFT Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 17, 2026. A newer theta report is available for May 22, 2026.

View latest report

Outlook

Data-only. Vol: Normal. Gamma: Pinning. Flow: Bullish.

Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 8.4% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Supports:
Conflicts:

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
Normal
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs Max Pain
Above
Thesis duration:

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days
$420.65$424.93
Next 1 week
$418.57$427.02
Next 2 weeks
$393.49$452.09

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $390 (2026-04-17); $392 (2026-04-20); $380 (2026-04-22)
EM guardrails: 2d $420.65/$424.93; 1w $418.57/$427.02
Support: $393.49 · $390.00
Resistance: $445.00 · $450.00 · $452.09
Structural: Call OI wall: $445-$625

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+391.8M

DEX: +110.0M shares

Gamma flip: N/A

NTM gamma:

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX:

Term structure:

Skew:

Flow Analysis

Net premium:

Directional prints:

Unusual:

Risks & Catalysts

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk

Top Plays

Watchlist Triggers

Tactical Summary

Report generated from precomputed data only — LLM unavailable.
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on April 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.