thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $352.83EOD only
Max Pain
$377.50
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.83
1.9% from close
Price Gap
+24.67
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
60
High premium
P/C OI
0.42
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 25, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 25, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 26, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because the 33-day earnings event introduces binary risk that could disrupt the pin, and macro headwinds (QQQ -1.38%) add uncertainty.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin to $370 — dealer gamma, institutional call accumulation, and elevated IV for premium collection all reinforce the magnet near $370 with upside bias toward $385.

Where They Diverge

No material conflict; all personas agree on bullish pin, though the earnings event in 33 days extends beyond short-term gamma support, but timeframe mismatch is not incompatible.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-31 $370/$360 put credit spread for ~$2.00 credit — defined risk, profits from pin above $370, decays theta.

Key Risk

Break below $360 support invalidates the pin, flips dealer gamma long, and accelerates decline toward $351.60.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.