thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $365.46EOD only
Max Pain
$380.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.38
2.6% from close
Price Gap
+14.54
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
44
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.41
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 25, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.0

out of 10

5 not 6 because flow and directional directly conflict; earnings event pending adds uncertainty, preventing higher conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Mixed signals but bearish flow and elevated IV suggest caution; net premium negative, spot below max pain.

Where They Diverge

Directional sees moderate bullish drift while flow is bearish with aggressive call selling, conflicting on direction.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-31 $325/$320 put spread for $1.20 credit

Key Risk

Break below $320 flips dealer gamma long and triggers stop-loss cascade; downside accelerates to $310 gap fill.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 25, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.