thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $393.83EOD only
Max Pain
$400.00
Next expiry Jun 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.86
1.5% from close
Price Gap
+6.17
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
91
High premium
P/C OI
0.43
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 8 because while all personas agree on bearish bias, the range-bound environment (DEX support) limits downside conviction, and lack of earnings catalyst keeps conviction moderate.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bearish bias with spot below max pain and negative gamma, reinforced by heavy put flow from flow perspective and theta's recommendation for credit put spreads near support.

Where They Diverge

No major conflicts; all perspectives align on bearish short-term outlook with defined risk structures.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-08-21 $355/$330 bear put spread for net debit $1.50 (est.)

Key Risk

Break below $330 flips dealer gamma from short to long, removing downside pressure and likely triggering a recovery rally toward max pain $395.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.