thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $373.94EOD only
Max Pain
$375.00
Next expiry Jun 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.88
1.6% from close
Price Gap
+1.06
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
37
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.41
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 23, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 23, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 24, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 8 because strong put volume and negative gamma create downside risk that the pin thesis cannot fully resolve; higher if flow turns neutral.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas align on a pin to $375 max pain with dealer negative gamma amplifying directional breaks, but mixed flow introduces uncertainty.

Where They Diverge

Heavy put buying from flow directly contradicts the bullish pin thesis; put flow signals bearish hedging while directional and theta see upside bias.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-24 $345/$340 put spread and $375/$380 call spread iron condor for $1.20 credit.

Key Risk

Break below $356 triggers dealer gamma flip and accelerates downside to $345; invalidates the pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 24, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.