thetaOwl
HomeOptionsMSFTReports

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $390.74EOD only
Max Pain
$400.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.91
1.8% from close
Price Gap
+9.26
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
85
High premium
P/C OI
0.43
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 7.5 because the earnings event 47 days out introduces binary risk and flow's net negative premium cautions against directional bet—if pin holds through weekly expiry, conviction rises to 7.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas reinforce bullish pinning near $398 max pain with dealer positive gamma, flow accumulation, and theta-rich environment supporting range-bound trade.

Where They Diverge

Theta's short put expects no move above $397.5, while earnings and flow see upside break potential above $398—contradicts the pin thesis.

Top Trade
via earnings

Sell 2026-07-02 $370/$360 put spread and $395/$405 call spread iron condor for $2.50 credit

Key Risk

Break below $383.83 support or above $397.5 resistance flips gamma dynamics and invalidates pin—accelerates to $370 or $405.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.