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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $379.40EOD only
Max Pain
$387.50
Next expiry Jun 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.81
1.8% from close
Price Gap
+8.10
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.42
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 22, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 7.5 because spot ~3% below max pain and conflicting trade types reduce conviction; earnings in 37 days add binary risk.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin to $380 with dealer short-gamma amplifying moves — all personas support mean reversion to max pain despite spot below.

Where They Diverge

Theta recommends bearish call credit spreads (selling upside) while directional and flow buy OTM calls, creating trade structure conflict on the same bullish thesis.

Top Trade
via directional

Sell 2026-07-31 $340/$330 put spread for $1.20 credit — defined risk, profits from pin to $380, aligns with bullish drift.

Key Risk

Break below $359 flips dealer gamma and triggers stop-loss cascade — downside accelerates to $345 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.