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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $390.74EOD only
Max Pain
$400.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.91
1.8% from close
Price Gap
+9.26
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
85
High premium
P/C OI
0.43
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because while all four personas have high confidence (9/9/9/9), the conflict between gamma pinning around $400 and the directional upside target to $421 reduces conviction; also earnings on 7/29 creates binary event risk.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas align on a bullish bias for MSFT, supported by strong dealer long gamma, heavy institutional call flow, and positive market context; price expected to grind higher toward $400-$410.

Where They Diverge

Directional sees upside to $421 but gamma pinning near $410 caps near-term gains, conflicting with the full bullish target; Theta notes high call skew and 0DTE IV spikes adding short-term risk.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-24 $390/$380 put credit spread for $2.50 credit, defined risk, profits from bullish pin and time decay.

Key Risk

Break below $392 max pain flips dealer gamma long, removing the pin and accelerating downside toward $370 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.