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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $399.76EOD only
Max Pain
$397.50
Next expiry Jun 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.05
2.3% from close
Price Gap
-2.26
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
85
High premium
P/C OI
0.44
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 not 7 because flow net bearish and tech weakness offset the bullish call activity — if spot holds $390 through monthly expiry, conviction jumps to 8.

Where Perspectives Agree

Neutral to bullish pin near $400 with support at $390 — gamma pinning, put credit spread opportunities, and call buying near spot all reinforce range-bound upside bias.

Where They Diverge

Flow sees aggressive call buying as bullish, but net premium sold ($-105M) and rising call IV (79% on 6/18) imply hedging, not directional demand — contradictions with downside QQQ -1.9% and spot below max pain.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Aug21 $380/$370 put spread for $2.00 credit — defined risk, bullish, profits from pin above support.

Key Risk

Break below $388 flips dealer gamma long and triggers downside acceleration to $370 — all personas cite this level as invalidation.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.