thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $390.74EOD only
Max Pain
$400.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.91
1.8% from close
Price Gap
+9.26
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
85
High premium
P/C OI
0.43
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 11, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 11, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for June 12, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 7.5 because theta's bearish call spread at $410 undermines the directional and flow bullish continuation — if spot holds below $410, conviction rises; break would align all bull.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish bias with cap near $410 max pain — support from dealer long delta and call flow, but call OI resistance at $420+ and negative GEX limit upside.

Where They Diverge

Theta recommends short call spreads at $410, which directly conflicts with the bullish breakout thesis from flow and directional, creating a stalemate near resistance.

Top Trade
via earnings

Buy 2026-08-21 $390/$410 call spread for net debit — defined risk, benefits from slow grind up while capped at $410.

Key Risk

Break below $383 (2d lower guardrail) removes dealer support, accelerates to $369 — all personas would turn bearish.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 11, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.