thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $403.41EOD only
Max Pain
$415.00
Next expiry Jun 10, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.86
1.4% from close
Price Gap
+11.59
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
57
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.45
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 9, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 9, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 7.5 because the long-term bullish signal from Flow and distant earnings date reduce conviction on immediate downside; if $379 breaks, conviction rises to 8.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bearish near-term with downside to $379 support; spot below max pain $405, negative GEX and negative flow all reinforce downward pressure.

Where They Diverge

Flow's long-term bullish Nov $580 calls (122x OI) contradict near-term bearish thesis; earnings 49d out but current positioning short-term bearish.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-08-21 $375.00/$345.00 bear put spread for net debit — profits from downside, defined risk, aligns with bearish GEX and flow.

Key Risk

Break below $379 support flips dealer gamma long and triggers short covering rally, invalidating bearish thesis and accelerating to $370.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.