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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $403.41EOD only

Max Pain

$415.00

Next expiry Jun 10, 2026

Expected Move

±$5.86

1.4% from close

Price Gap

+11.59

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Middle-high premium

P/C OI

0.45

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

5.0/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: Jun 9, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 9, 2026 close

MSFT AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close June 9, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

5.0

out of 10

5 not 6 because all personas have 5.5/10 confidence and conflicting time horizons (2d bearish vs 2w bullish vs 50d event) prevent higher conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on gamma pinning near $415 with bullish call accumulation, but near-term resistance caps upside — a pinning equilibrium with bearish tilt near highs.

Where They Diverge

Theta and directional see downside risk (short premium, bearish puts) while flow and earnings are bullish (call buying, IV expansion in 50d) — incompatible because theta relies on range, earnings expects eventual move.

Top Trade

via theta

Sell 2026-07-10 $420/$425 call spread for $0.80 credit — profits from pin at $415, defined risk, expires pre-earnings.

Key Risk

Break below $385 flips dealer gamma long, invalidates pin and triggers downside acceleration to $380 — all personas cite this as key invalidation.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 9, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.