thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $416.67EOD only
Max Pain
$432.50
Next expiry Jun 8, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.47
1.8% from close
Price Gap
+15.83
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
53
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.44
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 5, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 5, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because the 51-day earnings distance adds uncertainty and slightly elevated VIX could compress; if spot holds above $415, conviction strengthens.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas see bullish bias with gamma pinning near $425 max pain and strong dealer support, reinforcing upward drift toward that level.

Where They Diverge

Flow notes high volume-to-open-interest ratios on calls suggest rolling/closing rather than fresh accumulation, slightly undermining the directional conviction of sustained bullish flow.

Top Trade
via directional

Bull call spread: buy Jul 17 $415 call, sell $425 call for $4.50 debit — profits from pin to $425 with defined risk.

Key Risk

Break below $392.70 support flips dealer gamma long, removes pin, and accelerates downside to $380.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 8, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.