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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $428.05EOD only
Max Pain
$430.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.93
1.4% from close
Price Gap
+1.95
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
40
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.45
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 4, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 4, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 5, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 not higher because the moderate confidence across personas (all ~5.5) and the core conflict between gamma pin and bearish flow prevent stronger conviction; a clear directional signal would raise it to 7.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on near-term range-bound pinning near $428 with bullish GEX support, but bearish flow and tech selloff create a cautious bearish tilt, limiting upside.

Where They Diverge

Directional and theta see dealer long gamma pinning price to $428, while flow reports aggressive OTM call selling and net bearish premium that contradicts a sustained bullish hold.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-06-26 $405/$400 bear put spread for $0.50 debit

Key Risk

Break below $409 support flips dealer gamma long and triggers stop-loss cascade, accelerating to $404 gap fill.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 5, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.