thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $418.57EOD only
Max Pain
$412.50
Next expiry May 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.90
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-6.07
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
23
Low premium
P/C OI
0.46
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 26, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.5

out of 10

8.5 not 9.5 because while all signals align, the lack of an immediate catalyst and reliance on sustained flow could be disrupted by a broad market selloff; if volume continues above $415, conviction rises.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on bullish bias with dealer gamma pinning near $415, supported by strong flow and favorable IV environment.

Where They Diverge

No significant conflicts; theta's short premium trades are compatible with directional's bull call spreads, and earnings absence of near-term catalyst does not undermine the pinning thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-18 $400/$390 put credit spread for $1.50 credit, defined risk, benefits from bullish pin and time decay.

Key Risk

Break below $395 flips dealer gamma from short to long, removing the pin magnet and accelerating downside toward $375 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.