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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $419.09EOD only
Max Pain
$417.50
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.98
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-1.59
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
17
Low premium
P/C OI
0.46
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 22, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.5

out of 10

8.5 not 9.5 because despite strong alignment, the put buying for 5/26 from earnings creates a mild conflict; if that subsides conviction would increase.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on a bullish pin near $418-$420 with dealer long gamma and strong call flow supporting a grind higher.

Where They Diverge

Earnings reports put buying for 5/26 adds caution, which directly undermines the purely bullish thesis from flow and directional, suggesting potential hedging or bearish positioning near term.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-12 $420/$405 put spread for ~$1.20 credit, defined risk and profits from pin.

Key Risk

Break below $418 support flips dealer gamma long to short and triggers put flow, accelerating downside to $410.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.