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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $419.09EOD only
Max Pain
$417.50
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.98
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-1.59
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
17
Low premium
P/C OI
0.46
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 21, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
9.0

out of 10

9 not 10 because the imminent weekly expiry (5/22) introduces pin risk and potential volatility spike, but the strength of flow and dealer positioning warrant near-max conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on a bullish pin to $418 max pain, supported by heavy call flow, positive GEX, and favorable theta decay near expiry.

Where They Diverge

No material conflicts; earnings far out (69 days) does not impact near-term thesis, though it limits upside catalyst beyond the pin.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 22 $415/$410 put spread for $1.50 credit

Key Risk

Break below $417.5 support triggers dealer gamma long and stop-loss cascade, accelerating downside to $410 or lower.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 21, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.