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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $405.21EOD only
Max Pain
$405.00
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.38
1.8% from close
Price Gap
-0.21
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
43
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.48
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 13, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 14, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.5

out of 10

8.5 not 10 because near-term catalyst is absent and resistance at $428 caps immediate upside, but alignment across all personas and high confidence scores justify strong conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish bias with pinning near $405-$415 — all personas agree on upside, supported by strong call flow, positive GEX, and high beat rate outlook.

Where They Diverge

No major conflicts; earnings notes limited near-term catalyst and richer OTM puts, but flow and directional still see bullish momentum from institutional accumulation.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-18 $400.00/$385.00 put spread for $2.10 credit — defined risk, profits from pinning and theta decay, high probability.

Key Risk

Break below $405 support invalidates the pin thesis and could trigger dealer gamma flip, accelerating decline toward $380.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.