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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $422.79EOD only

Max Pain

$392.50

Next expiry Apr 20, 2026

Expected Move

±$2.14

0.5% from close

Price Gap

-30.29

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

100

High premium

P/C OI

0.45

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

6.5/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: Apr 17, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Apr 17, 2026 close

MSFT AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close April 20, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

7.0

out of 10

7 because strong GEX and buy flow align across personas, but near-term earnings and a clear break below $405 are single-event risks that can rapidly invalidate positioning.

Where Perspectives Agree

Pin to $415 with dealer gamma support and buy-side flow underpinning mean-reversion into that level; position favors limited bullish/neutral exposure rather than long outright risk.

Where They Diverge

Earnings/timing risk and potential IV re-pricing can reverse the pin thesis into a post-event fade that undermines selling premium; likewise a sudden institutional selling wave (flow) would invert dealer hedging and negate the bullish bias.

Top Trade

via theta

Sell May 08 2026 415/410 put spread for credit (defined-risk premium sell).

Key Risk

A daily close below $405 triggers dealer gamma flip and accelerated downside to ~$387, which would invalidate the pin and wipe out short-put spread profits.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 20, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.