thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $421.06EOD only
Max Pain
$415.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.28
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-6.06
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
14
Low premium
P/C OI
0.46
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 19, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from May 19, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 20, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
9.0

out of 10

9 out of 10 because all high-confidence signals (9/10 each) converge, but macro sell-off risk and $420 resistance cap from a 10.

Where Perspectives Agree

All four perspectives are strongly bullish on MSFT with dealer long gamma pinning near $418 max pain, supported by heavy bullish call flow and favorable IV environment.

Where They Diverge

No significant conflicts; all personas align on bullish bias, differing only in trade structure (direction vs theta vs earnings vs flow) but same underlying thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-18 $395/$390 put credit spread for estimated $2.00 credit — defined risk, profits from bullish pin and time decay, with max pain support.

Key Risk

Break below $396 support invalidates all bullish theses; dealer gamma flips negative, triggering downside acceleration to $390.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 19, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.