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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $418.07EOD only

Max Pain

$400.00

Next expiry Apr 22, 2026

Expected Move

±$7.32

1.8% from close

Price Gap

-18.07

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Middle-high premium

P/C OI

0.45

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

7.0/10

Consensus signal

Published snapshot: Apr 20, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Apr 20, 2026 close

MSFT AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close April 21, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

6.5

out of 10

6.5 because flow, GEX and pinning align but the near-term earnings/macro binary risk and the possibility of a >3% fast gap can invalidate positioning rapidly, preventing a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Modestly bullish pin into $410–$420 with dealer long-gamma and buy-side flow supporting a continuation to ≈$445 if macro holds; current regime favors directional upside while compressing tails.

Where They Diverge

Potential conflict: earnings/binary events or a sudden macro shock would drive IV and hedging flows that can overturn the pin quickly — this directly undermines the calm continuation thesis despite the flow/GEX alignment.

Top Trade

via directional

Buy Jun 18 2026 $425/$435 bull call spread for a debit (directional long call spread).

Key Risk

Sustained break below $398 (≈3% below the $410 pin) flips dealer gamma and unleashes accelerating selling into $385 support, invalidating the bullish pin and compressing times for theta strategies.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 21, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.