Home Options MSFTReports

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $407.77EOD only

Max Pain

$410.00

Next expiry May 13, 2026

Expected Move

±$5.10

1.3% from close

Price Gap

+2.23

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Middle-high premium

P/C OI

0.49

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

6.5/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: May 12, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

May 12, 2026 close

MSFT AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close May 13, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

7.0

out of 10

7/10 because strong agreement among three personas is tempered by Theta's conflicting range assumption and near-term IV anomaly signaling event risk — conviction would be higher if Theta agreed on upside break.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas reinforce a bullish bias with pinning near $408 — GEX, flow accumulation, and premium-selling opportunities all support range-bound upside.

Where They Diverge

Theta expects range-bound movement and recommends selling premium, while Directional and Flow anticipate an upside break beyond $410, creating a conflict in trade direction and volatility expectations.

Top Trade

via theta

Sell 2026-06-05 $385/$380 put spread for $0.65 credit

Key Risk

Break below $398 flips gamma and triggers stop-loss cascade, accelerating to $385 support — invalidates all bullish theses.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 13, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.