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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $384.37EOD only
Max Pain
$370.00
Next expiry Apr 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.80
1.8% from close
Price Gap
-14.37
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.45
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 13, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because directional, flow and theta are aligned around a short-term pin and premium sale opportunity, but conviction is capped by two asymmetric risks: the multi-expiry max-pain/put-side lever that can flip the pin lower, and front-week expiries/any volatility repricing that can quickly make sold wings dangerous.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin into the mid-380s — dealer gamma positioning and net premium flow create a magnet near 385 that makes mean-reversion and short-term premium decay the highest-probability path.

Where They Diverge

Theta's recommendation to aggressively sell short-dated wings (iron condors/put spreads) conflicts with flow's concentrated, call-heavy buy-side pressure on the upside: heavy institutional call flow can blow past sold call wings and spike IVs, while the multi-expiry max-pain cluster below spot (370) presents an opposing structural downside pressure that would directly negate the pin if selling accelerates.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-05-01 375/370 put spread for ~ $0.50–$0.80 credit (defined-risk income)

Key Risk

A sustained break and close below $370 driven by accelerating put-buying/selling pressure would flip dealer gamma, remove the pin and trigger rapid downside toward the next structural support (~$358), invalidating the bullish pin and premium-selling thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for MSFT for 2026-04-13. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.