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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $420.26EOD only
Max Pain
$385.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.55
1.3% from close
Price Gap
-35.26
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.45
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because all signals align on a pin and theta edge, but the pending/near-term earnings binary can invalidate positioning quickly, preventing a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus is bullish consolidation into a $420–$425 pin with dealer short-gamma supporting range-bound upside and making defined-risk premium-selling attractive into expiry windows.

Where They Diverge

Earnings/event risk creates a genuine incompatibility: directional and flow assume continuation toward $427–452, while the earnings perspective (binary repricing risk) can wipe out dealer pinning and invert the trade; that event risk directly undermines front-month premium-selling if it materializes.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May-29 $440/$480 call spread for a credit (~$1.10)

Key Risk

A decisive break-and-close below $412 removes dealer pinning (gamma flips), triggering rapid downside acceleration toward the $385 support gap and invalidating the bullish/short-gamma thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for MSFT for 2026-04-17. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.