thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $441.31EOD only
Max Pain
$442.50
Next expiry Jun 3, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.85
1.8% from close
Price Gap
+1.19
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
47
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.45
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 2, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 2, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 17, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because all signals align on a pin and theta edge, but the pending/near-term earnings binary can invalidate positioning quickly, preventing a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus is bullish consolidation into a $420–$425 pin with dealer short-gamma supporting range-bound upside and making defined-risk premium-selling attractive into expiry windows.

Where They Diverge

Earnings/event risk creates a genuine incompatibility: directional and flow assume continuation toward $427–452, while the earnings perspective (binary repricing risk) can wipe out dealer pinning and invert the trade; that event risk directly undermines front-month premium-selling if it materializes.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May-29 $440/$480 call spread for a credit (~$1.10)

Key Risk

A decisive break-and-close below $412 removes dealer pinning (gamma flips), triggering rapid downside acceleration toward the $385 support gap and invalidating the bullish/short-gamma thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.