thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $433.45EOD only
Max Pain
$425.00
Next expiry May 13, 2026
Expected Move
±$11.15
2.6% from close
Price Gap
-8.45
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
76
High premium
P/C OI
0.78
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: May 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 12, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.5

out of 10

8.5 not 9 because the high VIX and near-term pinning at $450 introduce uncertainty that could limit immediate upside; a clean break above $450 would raise conviction to 9.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin near $450 with dealer gamma support and heavy institutional call buying reinforce upside bias toward $475-$480.

Where They Diverge

Earnings persona flags massive 0DTE activity and pinning at $450, which could cap upside near-term, contradicting the directional thesis of a sustained breakout above $450.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-17 $425/$420 put credit spread for $1.50 credit — defined risk, profits from bullish pin and theta decay, expires post-earnings.

Key Risk

Break below $428 reverses dealer gamma and triggers stop-loss cascade, accelerating decline to $420 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 13, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.