thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $435.79EOD only
Max Pain
$435.00
Next expiry Jun 1, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.82
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-0.79
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
62
High premium
P/C OI
0.74
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 13, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because GEX-heavy pinning and a Theta-friendly IV environment create a clear edge for short-premium trades, but mixed flow and an imminent expiry/earnings cluster are credible, event-driven threats that can rapidly invalidate the pin; that event risk prevents a higher conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned to the $350–$353 area with dealer short-gamma acting as the primary stabilizer—this creates a short-premium friendly, Theta-rich environment that favors defined-risk income against the pin while leaving room for modest upside to the 1-week guardrail.

Where They Diverge

Flow signals contradict the pure pin thesis: institutional prints (large call buys and oversized put premium at higher strikes) suggest protection and/or directional positioning that could trigger a swift move away from the pin if re-priced, directly undermining the dealer-driven pin magnet. Earnings/expiry concentration during 4/13–4/20 also conflicts with short-premium plays because a volatility re-pricing or large print around the event would remove dealer hedging support and invert the expected short-gamma dynamics.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-20 345/335 put spread for a credit (theta approach).

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $335 on elevated volume (expiry-week unwind or an earnings shock) would remove dealer short-gamma support, collapse the pin, and likely accelerate downside toward the next structural support near $320–$325, invalidating the short-premium thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 13, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.