thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $417.26EOD only
Max Pain
$410.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$12.60
3.0% from close
Price Gap
-7.26
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
40
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.74
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from May 15, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 20, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because the earnings max pain target ($435) introduces a mild bearish bias that conflicts with the unanimous bullish stance from flow and directional – if spot drifts lower to $435, the bullish pin thesis weakens.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on a bullish pin near $425-430, supported by dealer positive gamma, institutional flow accumulation, and high theta decay.

Where They Diverge

Earnings implies max pain at $435 (below current spot), suggesting a potential downward drift that contradicts the directional upside bias to $445. Theta's short put at $400 relies on support holding, but flow notes large put activity at $425 which could signal hedging pressure near that level.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-05 $400/$395 put credit spread for $2.10 credit – defined risk, profits from pin and time decay, high probability of success.

Key Risk

Break below $397 support flips dealer gamma long, removes pinning magnet, and triggers stop-loss cascade – downside accelerates to $380 (next major support).

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.