thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $400.62EOD only
Max Pain
$372.50
Next expiry Apr 20, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.58
2.4% from close
Price Gap
-28.12
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.72
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 17, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 17, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 20, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because strong dealer GEX and concentrated OI give a high-probability pin, but elevated IV and an impending earnings/event window create a single binary failure mode that materially lowers conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market consensus: dealer-driven pin toward the $385 max-pain with price biased neutral-to-bearish into May expiries; dealer short-gamma and concentrated OI make a capped upside and slow downward drift likely.

Where They Diverge

Earnings/IV binary risk can directly undermine the pin if a surprise or large IV reprice forces dealer re-hedging and unpins price; that event risk conflicts with the steady pin thesis because it produces abrupt directional moves the pin cannot withstand.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 15 $405/$415 call spread for a net credit (defined-risk bearish income).

Key Risk

A hard break below $370 (sustained) forces a dealer gamma flip and cascade of stops—unpins the market and accelerates downside toward the $355 gap/support band.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 20, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.