thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $423.70EOD only
Max Pain
$420.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$12.52
3.0% from close
Price Gap
-3.70
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
48
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.72
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 3, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 3, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 4, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because the high short-dated IV (163%) signals tail risk that could break the pin, despite near-perfect agreement among flow, gamma, and max pain. A lower score would ignore the strong alignment.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on a bullish pin to $420, driven by max pain, heavy call flow ($73M+ net bullish), and positive dealer gamma (+$102M), with spot within 0.5% of max pain.

Where They Diverge

Theta's identification of elevated short-dated put IV (1d 163%) and high vol regime directly contradicts the low-vol pin thesis — a sudden drop below $410 could trigger IV spike and gamma flip, undermining the directional and earnings bullish view.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-08-21 $420/$425 call spread for ~$2.50 debit — defined risk, profits from pin to $420+ and bullish continuation through July earnings.

Key Risk

Break below $410 flips dealer gamma to long and triggers a cascade of stop-losses and put hedging, accelerating a drop to $300 support and invalidating the pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 4, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.