thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $309.22EOD only
Max Pain
$320.00
Next expiry Jul 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$10.07
3.3% from close
Price Gap
+10.78
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
13
Low premium
P/C OI
0.71
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Jul 27, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jul 27, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 12, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for June 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because earnings in 5 weeks introduces a binary event that could invalidate the pin thesis, and theta's premium selling conflicts with directional's vol expansion hope.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin to $400 — all personas confirm dealer gamma support, flow accumulation, and max pain alignment.

Where They Diverge

Earnings and theta favor selling high IV, while directional and flow call for buying upside — IV crush risk undermines directional call spreads.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-18 $400/$397.5 put spread for $0.50 credit — profits from pinning and high IV, limited risk.

Key Risk

Break below $400 flips dealer gamma from long to short, triggering cascade to $375 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.