thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $411.15EOD only
Max Pain
$400.00
Next expiry Jun 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$12.22
3.0% from close
Price Gap
-11.15
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
79
High premium
P/C OI
0.72
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 not higher because the near-term pin is strong but the 2-day expiry limits gamma and flow divergence warns of a potential reversal; lower than 6 due to bearish net premium and earnings-driven put activity undermining the bullish pin confidence.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on pinning to $410 for Jun17 expiry supported by max pain and positive GEX, but bearish flow and earnings activity introduce near-term uncertainty.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows heavy put buying (-$75.7M net premium) signaling bearish bias, contradicting the bullish pin and call accumulation at $405-$410 from flow itself; earnings' put concentration at $400-$420 conflicts with directional's moderately bullish outlook.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Jun18 $380 put / $410 call short strangle for $2.15 credit — profits from pin to $410 with defined risk at strikes.

Key Risk

Break below $380 invalidates pin — dealer gamma flips long, accelerating downside to $365; break above $420 challenges max pain and triggers short gamma squeeze.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.