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TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $387.51EOD only
Max Pain
$382.50
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$20.55
5.3% from close
Price Gap
-5.01
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
48
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.77
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 22, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 23, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because dealer gamma and elevated IV align on downside bias but an upcoming earnings/event binary and mixed institutional flow materially increase tail risk and reduce reliability.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus leans bearish-to-neutral: dealer short-gamma, high front-month IV and positioning create a downside magnet in the mid-300s (approx 348–366) with chop and asymmetric risk to the downside over 1–2 weeks.

Where They Diverge

Earnings/vol term-structure creates a binary that can produce a large two-way gap, directly undermining the directional downside thesis if a positive surprise triggers a squeeze; flow signals are mixed and could reflect institutional accumulation that would negate the pin if it continues — these two scenarios conflict with the bearish momentum view.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 15 $365/$350 put spread for a net credit (defined-risk short put vertical) expected ~credit (theta persona).

Key Risk

A sustained break and close above $390 (triggered by broad market rally or a positive earnings gap) flips dealer gamma long, collapses the downside magnet and would likely accelerate a squeeze toward $420, invalidating the bearish thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 23, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.