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TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $435.79EOD only
Max Pain
$435.00
Next expiry Jun 1, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.82
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-0.79
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
62
High premium
P/C OI
0.74
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 14, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because positioning, GEX and bullish flow align and make a near-term upside pin credible, but conviction is capped by concentrated short-dated expiry risk and elevated IV — a scheduled pin-release window or earnings move can rapidly invert the setup and produce outsized gap risk.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned near-term with tilted bullish bias — dealer positioning and concentrated call/cushioning flows create an asymmetric upside squeeze toward the 365–370 area while keeping price anchored to near-term strikes.

Where They Diverge

Timing risk from front-week expiries and earnings term-structure creates a direct contradiction: directional and flow signals expect continuation higher, but the earnings/expiry event dynamic can force a pin release that quickly drives price down to max-pain levels; that event would nullify the upside squeeze even if institutional accumulation remains intact.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-24 350/345 put spread for a net credit (theta persona) — defined-risk premium capture into the front-week expiry.

Key Risk

A front-week pin release that produces a sustained break below $350 during the 4/15–4/17 expiry window — trigger: concentrated option expiries and rebalancing; consequence: dealer gamma behavior reverses, liquidity dries, and price accelerates down to ~$330 gap/support, invalidating the upside pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.