thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $426.01EOD only
Max Pain
$415.00
Next expiry May 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.85
2.3% from close
Price Gap
-11.01
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
59
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.73
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 9, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 9, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 22, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because all personas agree on near-term magnet and gamma amplification, but conviction is capped by event risk (earnings/vol regime) and unclear flow—either could produce a fast, large move that invalidates the pin and penalizes naked premium sellers, preventing a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term pinning into the $355–$360 zone driven by dealer short-gamma and concentrated option interest; this creates a trendable, range-biased market where moves are amplified and the path-of-least-resistance is toward the call GEX magnets in the near term.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-vol regime (high IV, mixed flow and trending gamma) directly contradicts a pure range-sell/decay approach — the elevated event risk makes selling short-dated premium hazardous and supports buying protection or event structures; additionally, mixed flow signals leave uncertainty about whether institutional activity will sustain the pin or trigger a directional unwind.

Top Trade
via directional

Sell 2026-04-13 345/340 put spread for a credit (short-dated defined-risk bearish income capturing the pin while limiting downside).

Key Risk

A sustained break below $338.14 (the 2‑day EM lower bound) on high volume — this level breach would flip dealer gamma positioning, remove the $355–$360 pin, and accelerate downside toward the $320 support/gap area, invalidating the short-pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 9, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.