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TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $417.85EOD only
Max Pain
$410.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.23
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-7.85
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
42
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.74
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 21, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because the earnings event in 5 days introduces binary risk that could invalidate the pin regardless of current positioning; a miss drops conviction to 4, a beat maintains 9.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas agree on bullish pinning to $420-$440 supported by dealer short-gamma ($165.9M positive) and aggressive call flow, with theta selling and directional bullish plays aligned.

Where They Diverge

Earnings persona's 40% beat rate and expected vol crush directly undermine the high-conviction bullish continuation, as a miss could trigger gap down below $410, contradicting the pinning thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Jun 26 $395/$380 put spread for $2.50 credit — defined risk, profits from pin, expires after earnings crush.

Key Risk

Break below $410 (max pain) flips dealer gamma from long to short, triggering dealer sells and a cascade to $390 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 21, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.