thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $386.42EOD only
Max Pain
$380.00
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$22.65
5.9% from close
Price Gap
-6.42
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
34
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 21, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 because multiple supportive signals (GEX, flow, theta) point the same way but elevated IV and an imminent earnings/event binary materially raise tail risk that can invalidate the setup quickly.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin-to-~400 continuation: dealer gamma and bullish flow align with spot above midpoint and create a short-term magnet while elevated IV makes premium-rich setups viable.

Where They Diverge

Earnings/binary event risk and steep short-term IV term structure directly undermine the continuation if a post-event reset or IV collapse occurs; this single event narrative can reverse positioning despite flow and GEX alignment.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 15 $382.50/$365.00 put spread for credit (short put spread) — collect premium, defined risk to $365.

Key Risk

Break and close below $358 triggers dealer gamma flip and rapid downside acceleration toward $340–$330, invalidating the pin and collapsing the premium-rich selling thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.