thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $415.88EOD only
Max Pain
$435.00
Next expiry Jun 3, 2026
Expected Move
±$11.88
2.9% from close
Price Gap
+19.12
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
36
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 1, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 1, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 17, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 because multiple signals align on a pin and bullish flow, but event-driven IV risk and the clear gamma-flip level (~$350) leave a binary tail that prevents higher conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term bullish pin above the $368–372 max-pain band driven by sustained call-buy flow and dealer short-gamma that amplifies moves toward that magnet.

Where They Diverge

Earnings term-structure and theta suggest selling premium into the pin while flow and directional want to keep buying calls; not a direct contradiction, but a deeper conflict exists if IV rerates higher pre-earnings — that would both break the pin and flip dealer hedges, opposing the bullish continuation thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 370/360 put spread (defined-risk put credit), collect credit up front, expires May 2026 (theta persona).

Key Risk

Break and close below $350 on sustained volume (IV spike or multi-day net premium reversal) which flips dealer gamma to long, removes pin support and should accelerate downside toward the $330s gap.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.