thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $388.90EOD only
Max Pain
$365.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.62
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-23.90
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.71
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 because multiple signals align on a pin and bullish flow, but event-driven IV risk and the clear gamma-flip level (~$350) leave a binary tail that prevents higher conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term bullish pin above the $368–372 max-pain band driven by sustained call-buy flow and dealer short-gamma that amplifies moves toward that magnet.

Where They Diverge

Earnings term-structure and theta suggest selling premium into the pin while flow and directional want to keep buying calls; not a direct contradiction, but a deeper conflict exists if IV rerates higher pre-earnings — that would both break the pin and flip dealer hedges, opposing the bullish continuation thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 370/360 put spread (defined-risk put credit), collect credit up front, expires May 2026 (theta persona).

Key Risk

Break and close below $350 on sustained volume (IV spike or multi-day net premium reversal) which flips dealer gamma to long, removes pin support and should accelerate downside toward the $330s gap.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for TSLA for 2026-04-17. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.